Undervalued 24/25 Draft Premier League Players

The hype is real - or is it? A lot of factors go into how we feel about players in the run up to the Fantasy EPL draft. How did they finish this season? Did they join a better team or system over the summer? Were they injured? Will they benefit from another season in a new league? All of these things are considered when analyzing and predicting value for the upcoming draft. We have you covered with players whose value is inflated and should be avoided that early, as well as some undervalued assets that could outperform their average draft positions. For more incredible analysis and draft help check out our 24/25 Draft Kit and our Pricing Plans.

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Undervalued Draft Premier League Players

Every draft has its players that have too much hype and are being taken way too early. It is crucial to recognize who they are, try to avoid them, and opt for value instead. These players are all coming off decent seasons but it is a deceptive facade. They'll be good but not that good, and they'll go earlier in the draft than they should. Here are your undervalued draft premier league players. Pervis Estupinan's injury-riddled season dented his value, managers forget how good Christopher Nkunku is, Alex Iwobi is chronically underrated for some reason, & Chris Wood may not be pretty but he gets the job done late in the draft.

Pervis Estupinan | Brighton | Defender

How easily we can forget. Recency bias also works in a negative way - if a player has been out injured or poor recently, they're devalued. Estupinan fits this category. Last season, he was either injured or underperforming. He only mustered 15 starts and 7.4 Points Per Start (PPS). He was also seemingly at odds with his manager at the time, Roberto De Zerbi. Brighton brought in young LB Valentin Barco to make matters even worse.

All this negativity is forcing down Estupinan's ADP. But we know what the Ecuadorian can do. In the season before last, he posted 9.2 PPS and 8.2 Ghost Points Per Start (GPPS) from 31 starts. As long as he is healthy, he can replicate these numbers or better. Brighton have a new manager, Fabian Hurzeler, who plays on the front foot and should value Estupinan's attacking prowess. This should be a fresh start for a talented LB. The Seagulls also won't have the albatross of European football hanging around their proverbial necks. Estupinan and others can rest up and maintain fitness in between EPL and cup matches. The new defensive scoring changes - removing the two point deduction for conceding a first goal - will also help someone like him, who ghosts well but rarely keeps a cleansheet. The real sticking point is the injury. He had surgery back in April and it's somehow still up in the air when he will be back. If there is good news on that front or you want to take the risk, he's a potential DEF1 that you can pick up after Round 8.

Estimated Draft Pick: Round 9 or 10

Draft Pick Value: Round 6

Christopher Nkunku | Chelsea | Forward

The Frenchman came to Blighty last summer with high hopes. Having lit up the Bundesliga with RB Leipzig, he was expected to make an immediate impact for Chelsea. Unfortunately, a poor surface in a preseason game in Chicago ruined his debut season before it even got started. He nursed that knee injury and picked up a few more in 23/24, starting only 2 games the entire campaign.

Given this wretched debut, Nkunku is flying somewhat below the radar, Chelsea fans notwithstanding, and his ADP is lower than it should. But he still managed 3 goals and finished the season in strong fashion. And he has already proved his bonafides in Germany, delivering 20 G/A and 340 fantasy points in just 20 starts in 22/23. He has also been passing the eye test this preseason. His new manager has praised his versatility so he should be given every opportunity to start in different roles. The only rubs are his recent injury record and the distinct possibility that Chelsea could struggle - at least initially - under yet another new manager, especially one with an intricate tactical system. But no risk, no reward.

Estimated Draft Pick: Round 4 or 5

Draft Pick Value: Round 3

DISCLAIMER: Since the time of writing, Chelsea have signed two new attackers, which will be competition for Nkunku. Combined with his rising ADP, the Frenchman will likely be overvalued in your draft - my, how the tables have turned. Swings and roundabouts.

Alex Iwobi | Fulham | Midfielder

This guy is criminally underrated, and he always has been. He can be a frustrating player in the final third - sometimes making the wrong decision in front of goal - but he has a lot going for him. In 22/23, he posted over 9PPS and started every game for Sean Dyche. He then transferred to Fulham and a new setup under Marco Silva. He picked up where he left off after a tepid start at the Cottage. Iwobi finished 23/24 with 10PPS and 8.5 GPPS from 27 starts.

The guy just knows how to score fantasy points - yes, tame shots on target still count as shots on target. He should crack on with a year under his belt with Marco Silva and with better attacking assets flanking him. He should link up well with his fellow Arsenal academy alumni Emile Smith Rowe who is rumored to be on his way to Craven Cottage. He's consistent and injury free. Try finding another double digit PPS midfielder so late in the draft.

Estimated Draft Pick: Round 8

Draft Pick Value: Round 6

Chris Wood | Nottingham Forest | Forward

This is baffling. Yes, the guy looks like a rugby player rather than a footballer. Yes, he may have burned you in the past. But it comes down to simple math. Chris Wood scored a mouthwatering12.3 PPS and 14 goals in 20 starts last season for Nottingham Forest. He became a mainstay for new manager Nuno Espirito Santo, who took over from Steve Cooper at the end of December, reliably scoring goals and keeping them in the Premier League. Despite all this, for unknown reasons, the gigantic New Zealander is suffering from a low ADP. While some may be concerned about play time, Nuno still preferred Wood even when Taiwo Awoniyi was healthy. He should be the nailed on striker for Forest going into the new campaign and can do a job as your FWD3. If he replicates these numbers again, he's an absolute steal late in the draft.

Estimated Draft Pick: Round 13

Draft Pick Value: Round 9

Honorable Mention

• Newcastle Assets: The Magpies unsurprisingly suffered with the onset of Champions League football and the ensuing injury crisis last season. But free of European commitments and with most of the roster healthy (Calum Wilson notwithstanding, of course), they can get back to business. It remains to be seen how managers will treat their assets in the draft but they should perform better this campaign and offer more value.

• Kaoru Mitoma: The Japanese winger was the victim of overhype last summer but after a poor/injury-plagued campaign in 23/24, my how the tables have turned. Managers have seemingly forgotten how good this guy is and/or are scared off by the plethora of wingers at Brighton and/or the injury recovery. Either way, he could end up being a steal in the 4th or 5th round.

• Gabriel Martinelli: In a similar boat with Mitoma, his down season and competition (largely from Trossard) has dropped his perceived value to roughly the 5th round. With a settled left side, he can blossom again. He offers potential MID2 value in rounds 4 or 5.

• Bryan Mbuemo: His 12+PPS was only cut short by injuries. He held it down while Toney was suspended and he will remain a trusted attacker for the Bees. Even if Toney does stay, he will still get his. Mbeumo's current ADP (early round 4) slightly masks his value and he's a must pick if he drops there in your draft.

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