Tottenham Hotspur 24/25 Fantasy Forecast
- Draft Genie
- Jul 28, 2024
- 13 min read
Updated: Jul 30, 2024
With draft day almost upon us, it's time to preview Spurs fantasy football prospects for the new season in our 24/25 Tottenham Fantasy Forecast. In this year's 24/25 Draft Kit, we are featuring both a Fantasy Flashback and a Fantasy Forecast for every single Premier League team. There is also a plethora of other EPL Draft related articles in our Draft Kit, ranging from strategy to mock drafts to transfers and everything in between. Check the 24/25 Draft Kit main page often, as it's updated constantly!
Our Tottenham Hotspur 24/25 Fantasy Forecast will feature players to watch, players to avoid, season points projections, an early season fixtures analysis, and our predicted XI. We've got it all covered. Our Draft Premier League fantasy forecasts will help set you up to dominate your draft! And be sure to check out the Tottenham Hotspur Fantasy Flashback for our full analysis of last season's fantasy football results.
Check back often! Our team previews will be updated throughout the summer as any new transfer, injury, or rotation developments come to light.
Check out our 24/25 Draft Kit for all the pre-season information you could ever need: Draft Rankings, Team Previews, Mock Drafts, Strategy, Draft 101. We've got it all!
Tottenham Hotspur Fantasy Forecast 24/25
Let's jump into our in-depth look at Tottenham's prospects for the new EPL season below. This information will form a key component to your draft prep and set you up to dominate your draft!
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Fantasy Forecast
Past is prelude, as they say. So, turning to the 24/25 season, we've got Tottenham player projections, key players to keep an eye on, players we're staying away from, question marks surrounding the club at this moment, an analysis of Spurs early-season fixtures, and our predicted starting lineup.
24/25 Player Projections
Below, you'll find our season projections for Spurs fantasy assets. Our projections are created using a number of contributing factors such as historical performances, expected team strength, betting odds and more. ProjPPS (Points Per Start) and ProjFPts (Projected Total Points) refer to Fantrax Default Scoring.
It's no shock to see Son lead the charge for Spurs with a predicted 13.2 Points Per Start (PPS). This PPS would put him slightly worse than last season, but if Son can crack the 20 goal mark, a feat Spurs desperately need from him, there is no reason he can't exceed his projections and be a top 10 player. Maddison is next on the list with a respectable 12.2 PPS. The big thing for him will be his health, and whether or not he is the focal point of the attack (more on that in a later section). Brennan Johnson and Kulusevski are the next two attackers and both are in the 11 PPS range. The ding in their draft ADP and recommended draft pick will be due to the games started as they are both likely competing for that single RW spot. Both are unsurprisingly predicted to start under 25 games and with a fully healthy attack we could see fringe players Richarlison, Werner, and even Solomon rotate in the attack. These three latter players would be good punts after round 12.
In defence, Porro leads the charge with a predicted 10.3 PPS. If he can steal some sets off Maddison, which he did in the latter part of the season, then expect him to surpass that, especially with the scoring change for defenders. Porro should be the first Spurs defender off the board in the 4th round. If you are eyeing him up, be prepared to use your 4th rounder on him because in most leagues he will not last until the 5th. Romero is the only other Spurs defender worth looking at in your draft slots. His only missed games will most likely be from a classic suspension, but at a projected 8.2 PPS you could do a lot worse than trying to get him as your DEF3. He offers a set-piece threat as well. Udogie might be worth a punt in the later rounds but more on that one later.
Players to Watch
We've highlighted some Spurs players that we're keeping an eye on. The players mentioned below may be sleepers. They may be up-and-coming youngsters. They may be vying for a spot in the XI. Whatever the case, we'll tell you why we're watching these particular assets in EPL Draft Fantasy this year.
Dejan Kulusevski
Position: MID
23/24 Points: 363 (18th best MID)
23/24 Points Per Start: 11.1 (31 starts)
Recommended Draft Pick: 37 - 48 (12 Team League: Round 4)
Analysis: Kulusevski had a decent season, with his 31 starts, but only managed 8 goals and 3 assists from 66 key passes. I do believe his assist output is due to Spurs not being clinical, but as a winger for a potential top 4 team he should be scoring double digit goals. This will need to be the case next season given the competition for wing spots at Spurs.
Kulusevski had a poor end to the season. Entering April he started to struggle for consistent starts and form. That will leave some managers worried about where Kulusevski stands headed into the new season both with Postecoglu and in potential output. I do believe Kulusevski can lock down a wing spot next season even with Richarlison and Werner ready to go. While he will need to perform to keep his spot in the XI, on his day I believe he offers Spurs a lot more than either of the above players. Postecoglu has also used Kulusevski in a variety positions including in a midfield role. This most likely won't be his role going forward unless there are injuries in the middle of the park again, but him and Johnson seem to be swapping sides every now and then. For now I do think Kulusevski will start on the right hand side having made 22 of his 31 starts from there.
Kulusevski is still worth a 4th round pick as your MID2 given the upside he could offer with a better attacking season. His 11.1 PPS is nothing to shake a stick at, especially given his solid floor of 8.4 ghost points per game. If you plan to draft Kulusevski, be sure to add some more guaranteed assets in your first 3 rounds given the risk he presents.
Brennan Johnson
Position: FWD
23/24 Points: 309.5 (14th best FWD)
23/24 Points Per Start: 8.8 (26 starts)
Recommended Draft Pick: 50 - 58 (12 Team League: Round - 5)
Analysis: Johnson was a bit of a surprise signing for Spurs last season, but ended up becoming a starting player for them. Last season Johnson had a decent return with 5 goals and 12 assists in his debut campaign. Johnson became a key starter for Spurs and offered pace down the wing where he linked up well with Son. Johnson should only improve in his second season for his new club, and Spurs as a whole should improve as well. I do like Johnson headed into next season as a FWD2/3 option with upside. He lacks a serious floor with only 6.3 ghosts per game, but he was never really a ghoster even in his Forest days. Johnson should have one of the wings in every game, with the left wing looking more likely to be his if Kulusevski continues to start. There is a chance we see Werner start on the left and Johnson on his preferred right side, but I do not see Werner having a massive role next season barring injuries.
Johnson is worth a pick in the 5th round where you can lock him in as a solid FWD2/3 depending on your earlier picks. I do think he improves his goal output next season, but his assist output could change depending on how Maddison is used. We have seen everything go through Maddison at times (beginning of the season) and then nothing go through him (end of the season). It will be interesting to see how Postecoglou looks to be setting up in preseason with everyone fit. For now, though, Johnson will be a solid option, but I don't yet see him offering enough consistent FWD1 value to warrant a top 25 pick.
Players to Avoid
It's not all sunshine and rainbows at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. At least, not as far as Draft Fantasy Football is concerned. Below, we will also highlight some fantasy assets that we're not so thrilled about. These are the Tottenham players you might want to avoid come draft day.
Destiny Udogie
Position: DEF
23/24 Points: 160.75 (40th best DEF)
23/24 Points Per Start: 5.7 (28 starts)
Recommended Draft Pick: 152 - 168 (12 Team League: Late Round 13 - Round 14)
Analysis: Udogie is supposed to be the future LWB/LB for Spurs for years to come. At the ripe age of 21, he definitely has time on his side. Spurs believe they have finally replaced Danny Rose, and yes Udogie has shown signs that he can thrive in this role. From a fantasy perspective, though, there is a lot to be desired. With his poor 5.7 PPS and only 6.7 Ghost Points Per Start (GPPS) there are a lot of better defenders to target. Udogie had a season ending injury last season, but still managed 28 starts where he accumulated 2 goals and 3 assists. Udogie's season best was 20 points in the win vs. Brentford where he also bagged a goal. On the other hand, in 12/28 of his starts Udogie scored under 3 points. That is over 40% (!!) of his starts with 2.75 points or less. For most of the season, you truly would have been better off playing the waiver wire and streaming defenders instead of relying on Udogie.
The only reason Udogie is not a DND is because of the new scoring change. Spurs give up a lot of sloppy goals and Udogie being safe from -2 from the first goal will help his prospects of scoring above 3 more than he did last year. In fact, using the new scoring system Udogie only scored under 3 points 7 times as opposed to 12. While this is still a very poor outlook, there is some hope here. Udogie is back in pre-season training so should be fit for pre-season and the opening fixtures. With two friendly games to open the season vs. Leicester City and Everton he is only worth a punt in the last 2-3 rounds of your draft. There are a lot better players to reach for and he is firmly behind his defensive teammates in Porro and Romero in defender rankings for me. As a DEF3/4 type punt you could do worse than Udogie but outside of that I don't expect him to become a top fantasy asset just yet.
Richarlison
Position: FWD
23/24 Points: 226 (37th best FWD)
23/24 Points Per Start: 10.1 (18 starts)
Recommended Draft Pick: 125 - 135 (12 Team League: Late Round 11)
Analysis: Richarlison is a frustrating player in many regards. He never lived up to the "Harry Kane replacement" last season. While it will be seemingly impossible to truly replace the goal-scoring Kane brought to Spurs, Richarlison's 11 goals and 4 assists in 28 games is horrific. Richarlison dealt with many problems throughout the season, including a mental health battle and injuries. You would expect this to take a toll on any player, but Postecoglou has shown that he has multiple options to use in that front line. Richarlison as a fantasy asset is a punt type player for me. His 5.2 Ghost Points Per Start (GPPS) means he will need to crack 15+ goals to be a viable FWD3.
My low hope for Richarlison largely comes from the fact that I don't think he is able to get more than 20 starts. There are a lot of options for Postecoglou, and using Son through the middle could be the way he starts the season. Then there are the likes of Werner, Johnson, and Kulusevski all contending for wing positions, and arguably higher in the pecking order than Richarlison as of now. Having said all that, we have seen that anything can happen and all it would take is one pre-season injury to see Richarlison be in the XI for gameweek 1. You may see managers reach for him in the rounds 7-9 territory when they are getting desperate for forwards with any sort of upside. But I would hold off for just a few more rounds. Richarlison is a good punt as your FWD4, where you really don't have much to lose if he doesn't get off the mark or you have to drop him, but this is a risk that is not worth taking until the double digit rounds.
Question Marks
Not everything is crystal clear and predictable at Tottenham. We've highlighted some questions surrounding Spurs that we’re grappling with this preseason. We’ll try to note whether or not (and how much) these questions are affecting our perceptions of Tottenham's fantasy assets.
Is Maddison No Longer the Focal Point?
Maddison started his Spurs career like a house on fire - nearly impossible to stop, and in serious contention for signing of the summer. Unfortunately, this was quickly derailed when he suffered a very lengthy injury in the November 6th matchup vs. Chelsea. His nearly two month layoff meant his next appearance came on January 31. He missed 10 games, which resulted in the lowest number of appearances in his EPL career. Prior to the injury, Maddison had a PPS of 17.9 points (not including the game in which he suffered the injury). Post-injury, this number dipped down to10.3 - more than a 7 PPS swing in the wrong direction. While Maddison being rushed back, or scared of a reinjury or just being marked closer are all reasons thrown around as to why he suffered in this spell, could it also be that he is no longer the focal point of this attack?
With Maddison's injury Ange was forced to use different midfielders and different creative tactics. We saw Kulusevski have a strong spell in the Maddison role, as well as Porro take on a significantly bigger role in the attacking side. Johnson and winter loanee Werner were also handed more responsibility during this time. While Spurs had purple patches of good form with and without Maddison, I don't think Ange wanted to resort back to the "Maddison and inshallah" tactics. It is worth noting that 6/7 of Porro's assists came in Maddison's absence. While this could have been from him taking over more set-pieces, Ange didn't shy away from keeping Porro as a more offensive option when Maddison returned.
Questions remain over the Spurs off-season. Eze and Gallagher are two names that are being thrown around as Spurs look to add another creative midfielder to their ranks. While both of these players would help Spurs push for top 4 and more, they would also inherently negatively impact Maddison. Both Eze and Gallagher are also good on set-pieces and will be taking some of the creative load off of Maddison, which will hurt his fantasy impact but could keep him on the pitch longer. If Maddison is no longer the attacking connective tissue, Ange will be hoping he'll be less likely to suffer a long injury again. All of these question marks will affect the way Spurs play and Maddison's draft day value. While I expect the front 3 players to remain unchanged, there could be a serious shift in how Ange uses his midfield trio.
Spurs in Big Games
Last season Spurs came 5th/6th in the "mini league" of the classic big 6, only bettering Man United. In these10 games, Spurs walked away with just 9 points and a -7 goal difference. This is a pretty poor showing from a team wanting to challenge for the top four. I do expect Spurs to improve with another year under Ange, but there are still key areas needing improvement. One of them lies in midfield. The defensive midfield options for Spurs simply are not good enough. While Bissouma did have his moments and Hojberg provided the odd highlight, Sarr was their most consistent in that role and still didn't offer enough. While Sarr does usually play more advanced, he could offer defensive support. Spurs conceded 23 goals in these 10 games, and while that may not sound too bad, they conceded the most of this group. Despite technically playing "12 games" against the big 6, the likes of Brentford, Palace, and Forest conceded similar numbers. While there are a ton of rumours surrounding the arrival of a new attacking midfielder, a defensive midfielder should also be on the cards for Spurs.
In additional, there are 3/4 defensive spots that have shown consistency and improvement under Ange, but that LB role currently occupied by Udogie still leaves a lot to be desired. Udogie was discussed above, but I would not be surprised to see an LB brought in to provide proper competition or even Reguilon being given a shock chance to improve this Spurs defence against the big 6.
Early-Season Fixture Difficulty
The way that teams come out the gate has big implications in EPL Draft. A red-hot start creates red-hot trade targets. A dismal start means plummeting player values and losses for your fantasy team. Check out our thoughts on Tottenham's early-season fixtures and our analysis of the fantasy implications they will have.
Spurs first 5 games are a mixed bag. They have 3 winnable fixtures vs. Leicester, Everton, and Brentford. They will have their hands full, though, with matches away to Newcastle and against Arsenal. In terms of drafting for early fixtures, you could do a lot worse than some late grabs on Spurs defenders. Most of Spurs' top assets - such as Son, Maddison, Porro, Kulusevski, and Johnson - won't change in draft value because of the early fixtures. These assets should all be gone by the end of round 6. Some of the later picks such as Romero and Udogie could get a slight round bump or two with these fixtures though.
I would still avoid from even punting on Bissouma or Sarr. These players just don't score well and you are better off punting on Archie Gray or even a later round punt on Werner if he gets decent minutes in preseason. If you are someone who will be looking to trade their elite assets after just a few games, then there is every chance Son gets off to a hot start and can maybe be used in trades for other forwards such as Salah if they do not hit the ground running.
24/25 Tottenham Hotspur Predicted Lineup
Based on the information we have now, the below graphic is our best prediction for the eventual long-term Tottenham lineup in 24/25. We can't account for any last minute transfers or injuries, but considering managerial tactics, player form, and availability, this is how we see Spurs XI shaking out.
The Spurs XI has some question marks. A lot could change depending how the end of pre-season and the opening few weeks of the campaign go. For now I believe the trio of Johnson, Son, and Kulusevski will lead the attack, but there is the potential for Kulu to drop into a midfield role, allowing one of Richarlison, Werner, or even Solomon to slot into that front 3. In midfield, there are question marks over the CDM role, if no new signings comes in, Bissouma will need to find some of that early 2023/24 season form again or Gray could get a lot more minutes in his first season. I do believe that the defence picks itself, but backups such as Davies could be in with a shout at LB if Udogie fails to impress. The only real shakeup that could happen is a big money signing coming in - in which case stay tuned for a further update!
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